Monday, March 28, 2016

Chrcking my stock choices in 2016 - NEW TOTAL value

Total Value

$24,194.27

Today's Change

$-54.40 -0.22%  started with 20,000
GOOG04:00pm EDT733.53-1.771,301,3144$2,934.12$-7.08-0.24%499.98$+934.20+46.71%ChartNewsStatsOptionsBoard
No such ticker symbol: PCRTry Symbol Lookup
TER04:03pm EDT21.05-0.041,065,809183$3,852.15$-7.32-0.19%10.93$+1,851.96+92.59%ChartNewsStatsOptionsBoard
WDC04:00pm EDT48.08-0.044,257,662200$9,616.00$-8.00-0.08%31.23$+3,370.00+53.95%ChartNewsStatsOptionsBoard
WFC06:30pm EDT48.70-0.2018,476,528160$7,792.00$-32.00-0.41%30.69$+2,881.60+58.68%ChartNewsStatsOptionsBoard
No such ticker symbol: WOLFTry Symbol Lookup
 !

Great Wolf Resorts was sold to a huge Investment Firm in 2015 after many years of losses  - sold for around $5 a share.
PCR changes to TPC. - $15.02 today

WDC - was at $110 Jan 2015! today $48
TER Low of $10 in 2011 today 21

Sunday, April 20, 2008

What I learned

I found this project to be a great way to 'break the ice' in preparing to become a investor. It's light hearted and investigative nature lent itself to plying the wonky world of stocks - where, I found, consumer perception of the viability of a stock, supersedes sound economic tools and information.

On one of my blogs I researched the P/E ratio and was astonished to see again how investor hopes and confidence play a roll. Yahoo's investment portfolio was a great tool for me to dip into the world of trading. The ease of clicking into my different stocks for info, latest news and annual reports allowed me to quickly check in on my stocks, as I followed them through these weeks.

It was nerve- racking to watch the prices rise and fall! It was tempting to get completely sucked in to this world: read blogs, news, business articles and subscribe to motley fool etc. It could have become my life and each new rise or drop would suggest a different response or shift my strategy. I chose to just ride these stocks out, because of the short period. It is hilarious and frustrating to be drawn into the matrix of trying to predict a stocks future, then when info comes up that effects the price, to attempt to not only predict the effect, but the response of others and therefore the resulting best strategy - which will out trick all the other stockies. It can become a web of opposing strategies and one either becomes the one who risks or the one who holds.

I found it interesting that in these weeks, the Western Digital stock plunged, because of the news, that a new technology was to supercede the hard disk technology - yet there was so little information on it - that I couldn't confirm or deny this report - top secret, innovative, cool and cheaper! I could have sold immediatly, yet I chose not to, because in all my experiences with personal and institutional computers, safety is supreme and I feel that even if a new technology will take over, it will need time to convince the consumer, that it is safe. That's fine, yet if every other shlump sells their WDC stock and I'm the only one holding on, the price witll have dropped and it does not matter if WDC make humongous profits - the dividends will not outweigh the losses in stock price.

I wondered if I am a very conservative investor, that likes to hold stocks longterm or if my true investor nature has not really shown itself - I did not really treat it like mad money - but it seems that is the best attitude to have with stocks - otherwise you will be having bi-weekly or bi-daily heart attacks . What is ist about the daily fluctuations anyway? - they are just huge! I imagined there to be a huge selling an buying and swapping session in the morning and then frantic or calm adjustments during the day - there seems to be a pattern here....

I would have liked to have times in class to share ( maybe in small groups) on our findings. After a few weeks I could have used an infusion of new thoughts and some neat stock tips and insights on blogs, etc. (And 50 points ain't enough for all this work!)

Which brings me to the blog. This was a great opportunity to dry-run a blog and I found it to be easier to write 3times a week in this blog than I would have on a blank piece of paper. I highly recommend it! I may be more slapstick and giddy in this format - but it seems to match the expectations of the project.

Saturday, April 19, 2008

On blogs, news, reports and famous investor picks

Overall the diversity of information is wide - I like the pages that list how different influential investors or bloggers rate a certain stock: The are literally all over the place and it seems in this economic situation especially changeable.

I appreciated: The Wall Street Journal: when they chose to report on a firm, they would give enough information and back ground to actually assess the situation, simularly, Barrons would give a more in depth coverage.
CNBC was very up to date and on the pulse of the action, with less depth, more short video blips and other concentrated facts, often organized around a theme.
Message boards were even more all over the place - You can get solid and quicker or behind the scenes info - but the ratio of reading and assessing it's real value is out of whack and time consuming -I did not find one, that I hooked into and trusted - the scene is vast!

Then you have these for profit sites that lure you in with promises of great secrets of the super wealthy (which, I'm sure they are willing to part with) - there is a whole industry that preys on the individual investor.

Even my friends and aqantances tips were interesting - they illuminated their thinking:
some wanted me to do research for them, some focused on new companies and each of them had partial information (like: you go try it,and tell me how it went)

News Reports

Since Companies that have stock need to give out regular PR, many of their relaeses are boring and hope to shape the discussion and lift their status in the public eye. Other PR is so short and without much background info, that is is misleading also. The whole machinery is built on hype, so it truly is hard to decipher the actual situation - the reports let you now more about how the other stock holders and buyers will react.

Saturday, April 12, 2008

Internet Sales, still at 8% of total sales

M. Brennan, CNBC says that internet sales are benefiting from the same conditions that are hurting sales at brick-and-mortar stores.High gas prices keep consumers away from malls or cut sdoen on visits. He shows that e-mails sent to repeat customers by stores have the cheapest marketing cost ($6.85 is the average cost per order), while the average order value is high ($120.27 )
"Search engine shopping is also among the cheapest ($8.63 average cost per order) while yielding a high return ($109.73 average order value.) These cheap marketing tools are helping retailers maximize profits."

Again CNBC is giving more than just snippets of info, but is combining it with behind the scenes data!

Which lead me to a question: Are Google

Google Inc
GOOG

457.45 -11.63 -2.48%
NASDAQ
















and other search engines truly the main beneficiaries of the growth in retail? Is this "retail trade" really more of a "tech play"?

honing in .....

to

April 15th 2008 - Closing


My final results:

I have lost $1,701.19 on an original investment of $19, 158.26, with 841. 84 held in cash.
My final holdings value is $17, 457.07.

careening toward the end

Margaret Brennan, CNBC, on why retail stocks are not down, despite the drop in March sales:
Brean Associates' Eric Beder says it may be the 'end of the beginning' in terms of retail disappointments. Stores may get better in managing down expectations and in cutting back on inventory. They'll also gain an extra shopping day in April and benefit from an easier comparison year over year.
now isn't it interesting that all these intelligent people reading stock reports, income reports, income estimates, P/E ratios etc. can be conned by an extra day in April 08?!
I keep reading up on retail stocks to see if there is one I would consider buying to diversify my portfolio.